视察：84%信贷司理以为美国今年将陷入衰退 企业违约率将上升
据彭博社4月13日报道，国际信贷组合司理协会(IACPM)的一项视察显示，信贷投资组合司理们展望，未来一年企业违约率将上升，84%的受访者以为美国经济有可能在2023年陷入衰退。
Washington: portfolio managers are forecasting a rise in corporate defaults in the coming year while more than four-out-of-five participants see a chance of a US recession in 2023, to a by the International of Credit Portfolio Managers.
凭证国际信贷组合治理协会(IACPM)的一项视察，信贷投资组合司理们展望，未来一年美企违约率将上升，超八成的受访者以为，美国有可能在2023年陷入衰退。
The poll found 81 of fund managers see defaults picking up in the next 12 months, compared with 80 percent in the survey last December, as reduced bank liquidity and credit risk concerns land on top of macroeconomic issues. For North American corporates, 86 percent of respondents see defaults rising, while 91 percent see defaults rising in Europe.
视察发明，81%的基金司理以为未来12个月企业违约将加剧，而2022年12月的视察中这一比例为80%，缘故原由是银行流动性镌汰，以及对信贷危害担心成为宏观经济问题的主要因素。86%的受访者以为北美企业违约率将上升，而有91%的受访者以为欧洲企业违约率将上升。
“Our members have to see the impact of rising interest rates for some time and we’re beginning to see more credit and defaults in corporate borrowers now,” Som-lok Leung, IACPM’s executive director, wrote in a statement. “Unfortunately, this could take some time to work its way the system.”
IACPM执行董事Som-lok Leung在一份声明中写道：“我们预计利率上升的影响将一连一段时间，现在我们最先看到企业乞贷人面临更多信贷压力和违约。不幸的是，这可能需要一段时间才华在系统中展现。”
Survey respondents are also predicting a recession in the US, with 84 percent expecting one to occur sometime this year. That’s higher than the 61 percent of participants who see a recession this year in and the UK.
受访者还预计美国将泛起衰退，84%的人预计今年某个时间美国经济会爆发衰退。这一比例高于61%的受访者以为欧盟和英国经济今年将泛起衰退。
IACPM survey participants see certain industries like health care, medium-sized tech companies and defense manufacturers facing times in the environment. Commercial real estate was also cited, given work-from-home trends lowering occupancy rates and owners having to refinance in a higher interest rate environment.
IACPM视察加入者以为，医疗保健、中型科技公司和国防制造商等某些行业在目今情形下面临艰难时期;商业房地产也被以为是其中一员，由于居家办公的趋势降低了办公室占用率，业主不得不在更高的利率情形下举行再融资。
重点词汇
survey 视察 ; 丈量 ; 勘探 ; 民意视察 ; 民意考试 ; 测绘 ; 衡宇判断 ; 总体研究 ; 审查 ; 审阅 ; 审察 ; 周全评述 ; 概述 ; 判断，检查 ; 做民意视察，举行民意考试
participants 加入者 ; 加入者 ; participant的复数
certain 某些 ; 一定 ; 确定 ; 确实 ; 确信 ; 无疑 ; 某事，某人，某种 ; 某某，某位，一位叫…的 ; 稍微的
industries 工业 ; 生产制造 ; 行业 ; 勤劳 ; 勤劳 ; industry的复数
health care 医疗
泉源：彭博社
